The Phoenix Suns host the Brooklyn Nets in a high-profile showdown on Tuesday. Phoenix is 40-9, boasting the NBA‘s best record, and the Suns are 21-5 at home. Brooklyn is 17-7 on the road and 29-20 overall this season. Deandre Ayton (ankle), Jae Crowder (wrist), Cameron Payne (wrist) and Landry Shamet (ankle) are out for Phoenix. Kevin Durant (knee), LaMarcus Aldridge (ankle), Joe Harris (ankle) and Paul Millsap (personal) are out for Brooklyn, with James Harden (hand) cleared to play against the Suns.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Phoenix as a six-point home favorite for this 10 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 228.5 in the latest Nets vs. Suns odds. Before making any Suns vs. Nets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 62-32 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,500. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nets vs. Suns, and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Suns vs. Nets:
- Nets vs. Suns spread: Suns -6
- Nets vs. Suns over-under: 228.5 points
- Nets vs. Suns money line: Suns -260, Nets +210
- BKN: The Nets are 14-10 against the spread in road games
- PHX: The Suns are 12-14 against the spread in home games
Featured Game | Phoenix Suns vs. Brooklyn Nets
Why the Nets can cover
The Nets boast tremendous shooting profiles on both sides of the floor. Brooklyn is No. 7 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, based heavily on effective shooting. The Nets are No. 3 in the NBA in field-goal percentage, making 47.1 percent of shots, and Brooklyn leads the entire league in free-throw accuracy at 82.2 percent. On the opposite side, opponents are shooting just 44.2 percent from the field and 32.8 percent from 3-point range, ranking in the top four in both categories.
The Nets also do a tremendous job at both generating assists on offense (25.4 per game) and preventing assists on defense (23.2 per game), and Brooklyn excels in transition, averaging 13.2 fast break points per contest. The Nets should also benefit from Phoenix’s limited shortcomings, as the Suns are No. 26 in the NBA in blocked shots and No. 25 in the free-throw attempts on offense.
Why the Suns can cover
The Suns excel on both sides of the floor, but Phoenix’s offense is dynamic in its own right. The Suns are No. 3 in the NBA in offensive efficiency, scoring nearly 1.13 points per possession this season. Phoenix leads the NBA in field-goal percentage, making 47.7 percent of shots, and the Suns are in the top seven of the league in 3-point shooting (36.7 percent) and free-throw shooting (79.4 percent).
The Suns share the ball beautifully, averaging 26.4 assists per game, and Phoenix takes care of the ball with only 13.3 turnovers per contest. That leads to the No. 3 mark in the NBA in assist-to-turnover rate (1.99), with top-eight marks in assist percentage (62.0 percent) and points in the paint (47.9 per game). From there, Brooklyn has some weaknesses on defense, including the Nets landing in the bottom five in turnover creation and steals per game. Brooklyn is also No. 20 in the NBA in free-throw attempts allowed, and Phoenix is well-schooled in exploiting the shortcomings of opponents.
How to make Suns vs. Nets picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, projecting 219 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nets vs. Suns? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.